Scenario Planning Toolkit

Define scenarios, ask questions, predict impact

Scenario planning is the strategic antidote to uncertainty

In times of increased change and uncertainty, leaders are called upon for decisive action, even in the face of unpredictable events.

Scenario planning allows leaders to take meaningful actions by exploring a range of possible futures, rather than betting on a single prediction.

To make it easier, here’s a customizable, open source scenario planning methodology and toolkit to help you guide your team in setting and updating strategy during these challenging times and in the future.

This toolkit, adapted from a scenario planning process developed by The Trium Group, a leading management consultancy that specializes in breakthrough business performance, provides a methodology and planning framework that can be customized to help leaders align teams around a shared context, execute on no regret moves, and design strong future-proof strategies. Includes base scenarios for the COVID-19 pandemic, along with example prompts, questions, observations and corresponding strategies.

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